photo by F.T. Campbell
As we have known for years, forests of the eastern United States are under severe pressure from non-native forest insects and diseases. Several recent studies have put this fact into perspective.
Fei et al. (2019) found that the 15 most damaging introduced species threaten 41.1% of the total live forest biomass in the 48 conterminous states. Nine of the 15 species included in this calculation are pests of the eastern forest. Indeed, the greatest increase in biomass loss, as measured by USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) plot data occurred here. Compensatory growth in unaffected trees and the recruitment of new regeneration occurs only later – as much as two or more decades after the pest invasions began. Fei et al. (2019) expect these losses will be exacerbated in the future due in part to the likelihood that additional pests will be introduced.
Randall Morin found that non-native pests had caused approximately 5% increase in total mortality, by tree volume, nation-wide.
Most widespread pest threats in the East
Scientists have used several methods of measuring introduced pests’ impacts. One measure is the number of counties where the pest is present. A second measure is the proportion of the volume of the host that has been affected. Both metrics are used by Morin. A third method, used by the CAPTURE Project (Potter et al. 2019a), is the number of hosts affected by the pest.
Morin and colleagues found that the European gypsy moth has invaded 630 counties – or 29% of the volume of its principal host, oaks. (In both cases, the gypsy moth trailed white pine blister rust in extent of infestation. The latter is nationwide but having its greatest impacts in the West). The CAPTURE Project found that the gypsy moth affected the largest number of hosts – 65.
Using the “counties invaded” metric, Morin and colleagues found that dogwood anthracnose had invaded 609 counties in the East (and additional areas in the West); the emerald ash borer had invaded 479 counties at the time of analysis; the hemlock woolly adelged had invaded 432 counties. Using the number of hosts impacted measure, oak wilt (Bretziella fagacearum) affected the second largest number of hosts – 61 (Potter et al. 2019a). [All these pests are described briefly here.]
Project CAPTURE (Potter and colleagues 2019a) evaluated 339 serious pests threatening one or more of 419 native tree species in the continental US. They included both native and introduced pests. They analyzed 1,378 pest-host combinations. They found that:
- 54% of the host tree species (228) are infested by an exotic pest – although only 28% of the 1,378 host/agent combinations involved pests are known to be non-native in origin.
- Exotic agents have, on average, considerably more severe impacts than native pests.
- Non-native pests had greater average severity on angiosperms than on conifers. (As an earlier blog documented, Mech and colleagues have reached a similar – although tentative – conclusion.)
- Their estimate of the threat posed by non-native pests to forests – especially for the East – is an underestimate because established pests could spread to additional vulnerable areas and there is a high likelihood that new pests will be introduced. The Southeast was consistently a “coldspot” – despite the near extirpation of one understory tree – redbay.
Potter et al. (2019a) ranked forest threats in two ways. Four host families were at highest risk to alien pests, as measured by both the numbers of tree species affected and by the most host/agent combinations: Fagaceae (oaks, tanoaks, chestnuts, beech); Pinaceae (pines); Sapindaceae (soapberry family; includes maples and buckeye); Salicaceae (willows, poplars, aspens). When host families were ranked by the severity of the host/pest threat, Fagaceae was still at greatest risk, and Sapindaceae was still in the top four; however, Ulmaceae (elms) and Oleaceae (includes Fraxinus) replaced pines and willows.
A very interesting study was published by scientists based in the Blue Ridge Mountains of Virginia (Anderson-Teixeira et al. 2020). They contend that their area is a good example of what is happening more broadly in the Mid-Atlantic region.
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) found that non-native pests have substantially impacted at least 24% of the 33 tree genera (eight genera) recorded as present in their study plots. They estimated that over the century beginning with the appearance of chestnut blight in the region and ending with the expected extirpation of ash trees, net live aboveground biomass (AGB) loss among affected species totaled roughly 6.6–10 kg m -2. Forty to sixty percent of this loss started before the Park initiated quantitative surveys of permanent plots in 1987. The authors estimated that chestnut contributed up to 50% of estimated AGB losses over the century. Consequently, the estimate has very high uncertainty.
Despite these losses, Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) found that both total aboveground biomass and diversity within individual study plots had largely recovered through increases in non-vulnerable genera.
Average above ground biomass across the plots established in Shenandoah National Park increased as the forest recovers from logging, farming, and other disturbances before formation of the Park. These increases were due primarily to reproduction and growth of tulip poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera) and growth (but not reproduction) of oaks. Net AGB biomass was lost in oak- and hemlock-dominated plots. At plots established in the neighboring Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, pests had caused relatively minor impacts on AGB.
Diversity of tree species also did not change much. In the Park, the average number of genera per plot declined only 3% between 1991 and 2013. Diversity at the landscape scale increased by two genera – from 26 to 28. Many individual plots, though, lost three genera due to non-native pests – chestnut, redbud, and hemlock. A fourth genus was lost due to stochastic change. At the same time, the plots gained six native genera). This finding might be skewed by the short duration of the study period, which missed initial declines in several taxa and captured only the initial stages of decline in ash.
Several taxa were lost from the monitoring plots but were not completely extirpated from the region. Even those species not “lost” suffered elevated mortality rates and steep declines in abundance and above-ground biomass. These declines have not been reversed. The exception was some oaks, which regained above ground biomass, but not abundance, following the gypsy moth outbreak in the 1980s and early 1990s.
Taxa-specific findings
(Most of these pests are described briefly here.)
Fei et al. (2019) found that losses in biomass due to non-native pests – as measured by FIA plot data – was greatest for ashes, elms, beech trees, and hemlocks..
Morin and colleagues found annual mortality rates had increased three-fold above background levels for ash, beech, and hemlock. They also calculated the present mortality rates for several species for which the majority of loss occurred before their study (consequently, they could not calculate a pre-invasion “background” rate to which present rates could be compared). These included American chestnut (mortality rate of 7%), butternut (mortality rate of 5.6%), and elm trees (mortality rate of 3.5%).
The CAPTURE Project (Potter et al. 2019a) identified fifteen host-agent combinations with the highest severity. Ten of these species are found in the Mid-Atlantic region:
- American chestnut (Castanea dentata)
- Allegheny chinquapin (C. pumila)
- Carolina ash (Fraxinus caroliniana) ,
- pumpkin ash (F. profunda)
- Carolina hemlock (Tsuga caroliniana)
- butternut (Juglans cinerea)
- eastern hemlock (Tsuga canadensis)
- white ash (Fraxinus americana)
- black ash (F. nigra)
- green ash (F. pennsylvanica)
Four of these species are in genera included among the eight genera evaluated in the study conducted in the Blue Ridge (Anderson-Teixeira et al. 2020): American chestnut, butternut, eastern hemlock, green and white ash. The four other genera in the Blue Ridge study were elm (Ulmus), oak (Quercus), redbud Cercis, and dogwood (Cornus). All except redbud are recognized by other sources as heavily affected by non-native pests – confirming Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020)’s conclusion that findings on the Blue Ridge reflect the wider situation.
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) note that several of these tree species have been declared imperiled by the International Conservation Union (IUCN): American chestnut, butternut, American elm, eastern hemlock, and ash species.
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) report data on three taxa previously important in the canopy of Blue Ridge forests – chestnut, elms, and butternut. Chestnuts larger than 10 cm DBH had disappeared from the future site of Shenandoah National Park by 1910. Short-lived sprouts continue to be present in plots in the low-elevation Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute. Two elm species were described as ‘‘sparse’’ in the 1939 qualitative survey. Elms have persisted at low densities, low biomass, and increasingly small sizes. Butternut was ‘‘common’’ in 1939, but had disappeared from Shenandoah NP by 1987. On the Smithsonian’s property, butternut declined from four living individuals in 2008 to two in 2018. The near disappearance of butternut reflects the national picture: FIA data show the species has decreased about 58% across its U.S. range since the 1980s – which is decades after butternut canker started having a detectable impact in the Midwest.
In the Park, oak-dominated plots lost on average 24.9% of individuals and 15% of aboveground biomass. After 1995, when the gypsy moth was better controlled by spraying of Bacillus thuringiensis var. curstaki, oak aboveground biomass increased gradually, driven by individual tree growth rather than new recruitment. Continued declines in oak abundance are attributable to oak decline and management actions (or inactions) that do not promote regeneration.
In a separate study, a group of oak experts went through a process of queries to identify the greatest threat to oaks now and in the future (Conrad et al. 2020). They initially identified the following threats as most important currently (descending order): gypsy moth, oak wilt, oak decline, climate change, and drought. The top five future threats were initially identified as climate change, oak wilt, sudden oak death, oak decline, and some unknown new or emerging (non-native) pest or pathogen. By the third round, after the experts thought about their colleagues’ responses, oak decline had replaced gypsy moth as the most critical threat currently. Attack by an unknown new or emerging (non-native) pest or pathogen replaced climate change as the most critical future threat. While there was not a complete consensus, the consensus was stronger on the threat from a new pest.
photo by F.T. Campbell
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) reported that eastern hemlock was initially present in ten of Shenandoah plots, but was no longer recorded in the survey plots after 2007. (More than 20,000 insecticide-treated trees remain alive throughout Shenandoah NP).
Before arrival of the emerald ash borer, ash aboveground biomass was increasing in Shenandoah NP and stable on the Smithsonian Institute. EAB-caused mortality was first detected at the Smithsonian site in 2016 and accelerated steeply thereafter, exceeding 12.5% year by 2018. As of 2019, ash had lost 28% of individuals and 30% of aboveground biomass relative to 2016. Ninety-five percent of remaining live trees were considered “unhealthy’’ (Anderson-Teixeira et al. 2020).
Unlike many studies, the Shenandoah study included understory species. Flowering dogwood declined by up to 90% from plots on the Smithsonian property; 2008–2019 mortality rates averaged 7.1%. Redbud declined by up to 76% from 1995 to 2018. The 2008–2019 mortality rates averaged 6.2% year.
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) concede difficulty in estimating mortality due to less virulent or lethal pathogens, including Neofusicoccum spp. on redbud and Dutch elm disease on slippery elm.
Nevertheless, they believe their analysis probably underestimates the overall pest impacts because they did not analyze several other pest/host combinations known to be present in the Park: balsam woolly adelgid (Adelges piceae) on high-elevation populations of Abies balsamea; white pine blister rust (Cronartium ribicola) on eastern white pine (Pinus strobus); beech bark disease (Neonectria spp.) on American beech (Fagus grandifolia); thousand canker disease on walnut and butternut; and emerald ash borer on the novel host fringetree Chionanthus virginicus.
Another possible threat to oaks, winter moth (Operophtera brumata), is apparently now being controlled by the biocontrol agent Cyzenis albicans.
I am uncertain about the current status of two Diplodia fungi – Diplodia corticola and D. quercivora – link to blog which have been detected in both Florida and California. In Florida, almost all the symptomatic trees grow in cultivated settings where they are exposed to various stresses (Mullerin and Smith 2015).
However, host range studies indicate that 33 species of oaks and one species of chestnut that grow in the Southeast are vulnerable, to varying degrees, to D. corticola. Oaks in the red oak group (Section Lobatae) are more vulnerable than are white oaks (Section Quercus) (Mullerin and Smith 2015). In the test, the most vulnerable appear to be the following species native to the Southeast: Q. laurifolia, Q. virginiana, Q. geminata, Q. chapmanni, Q. laevis (turkey oak), Q. phellos, Q. pumila, and Q. incana (Dreaden et al. 2016).
What should we do?
Fei et al. (2019) noted that the losses to biomass would be exacerbated by the likely introduction of additional pests. They did not recommend any prevention actions.
Conrad et al. (2020) said their findings “lend support to national regulatory and awareness efforts to prevent the introduction and establishment of novel exotic insects and pathogens.”
Anderson-Teixeira et al. (2020) join others in declaring that future survival of the IUCN-listed species probably depends on conservation and restoration actions. They cite several sources, but not the CAPTURE Project – although the two studies reinforce each other. They specifically mention limiting invasive species’ spread through strengthened regulations and “enhanced plant biosecurity cyberinfrastructure”.
This last recommendation reinforces the message of Bonello et al. (2019) link to publication. We called for creation of a federal Center for Forest Pest Control and Prevention to implement end-to-end responses to forest pest invasions. One focus would be correcting the currently-inadequate focus on detection, development and deployment of genetic resistance while using modern techniques that allow for much faster breeding cycles.
Posted by Faith Campbell
We welcome comments that supplement or correct factual information, suggest new approaches, or promote thoughtful consideration. We post comments that disagree with us — but not those we judge to be not civil or inflammatory.
For a detailed discussion of the policies and practices that have allowed these pests to enter and spread – and that do not promote effective restoration strategies – review the Fading Forests report at http://treeimprovement.utk.edu/FadingForests.htm
SOURCES
Anderson-Teixeira, K.J., V. Herrmann, W.B. Cass, A.B. Williams, S.J. Paull, E.B. Gonzalez-Akre, R. Helcoski, A.J. Tepley, N.A. Bourg, C.T. Cosma, A.E. Ferson, C. Kittle, V. Meakem, I.R. McGregor, M. N. Prestipino, M.K. Scott, A.R. Terrell, A. Alonso, F. Dallmeier, and W.J. McShea. Date? Long-Term Impacts of Invasive Insects and Pathogens on Composition, Biomass, and Diversity of Forests in Virginia’s Blue Ridge Mountains. Ecosystems
Bonello, P. , F.T. Campbell, D. Cipollini, A.O. Conrad, C. Farinas, K.J.K. Gandhi, F.P. Hain, D. Parry, D.N. Showalter, C. Villari, and K.F. Wallin. 2019. Invasive tree pests devastate ecosystems – A proposed new response framework. Frontiers
Conrad, A.O., E.V. Crocker, X. Li, W.R. Thomas, T.O. Ochuodho, T.P. Holmes, and C. D. Nelson. 2020. Threats to Oaks in the Eastern US: Perceptions and Expectations of Experts. Journal of Forestry, 2020, 14–27
Dreaden, Black, Mullerin, and Smith. Poster presented at the 2016 USDA Invasive Species Research Forum
Fei, S., R.S. Morin, C.M. Oswalt, and A.M. Liebhold. 2019. Biomass losses resulting from insect and disease invasions in United States forests. Proceedings of the National academy of Sciences.
Guo, Q., S. Feib, K.M. Potter, A.M. Liebhold, and J. Wenf. 2019. Tree diversity regulates forest pest invasion. PNAS. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1821039116
Morin, R.S., K.W. Gottschalk, M.E. Ostry, A.M. Liebhold. 2018. Regional patterns of declining butternut (Juglans cinerea L.) suggest site characteristics for restoration. Ecology and Evolution.2018;8:546-559
Morin, R. A. Liebhold, S. Pugh, and S. Fie. 2019. Current Status of Hosts and Future Risk of EAB Across the Range of Ash: Online Tools for Broad-Scale Impact Assessment. Presentation at the 81st Northeastern Forest Pest Council, West Chester, PA, March 14, 2019
Mullerin, S. & J.A. Smith. 2015. Bot Canker of Oak in FL Caused by Diplodia corticola & D. quercivora. Emergent Pathogens on Oak and Grapevine in North America. FOR318
Potter, K.M., M.E. Escanferla, R.M. Jetton, and G. Man. 2019a. Important Insect and Disease Threats to United States Tree Species and Geographic Patterns of Their Potential Impacts. Forests. 2019 10 304.
Potter, K.M., M.E. Escanferla, R.M. Jetton, G. Man, and B.S. Crane. 2019b. Prioritizing the conservation needs of United States tree species: Evaluating vulnerability to forest insect and disease threats. Global Ecology and Conservation. (2019)